Fuel theft is rarely one dramatic event. It is usually a small, regular
loss that hides inside normal consumption variance — which is exactly why measuring
the monthly total never catches it.
Why the monthly fuel bill can't find it
Consumption varies with load, traffic, weather and driver. A steady 5% skim sits
comfortably inside that noise. You cannot detect it by comparing totals; you can only
detect it by watching the tank level itself, continuously.
Gauge versus probe
The vehicle's own fuel gauge costs nothing extra and gives you trend-level
visibility — useful for consumption averages and comparing vehicles. It is not precise
enough to prove an individual theft.
A capacitive probe measures the tank directly and continuously. On the resulting
graph, a refuelling event is a sharp rise and a siphoning event is a sharp fall, each
with a timestamp and a location. The two are distinguishable, which is the entire
point.
What a good probe has to survive
A fuel tank is a hostile place: vibration, temperature swings, electrical noise and a
conductive liquid. The specifications that matter are a real-time operating system in
the sensor for a stable output signal rather than a fluctuating average, electrically
insulated power and data lines, metal parts insulated from the common ground, and
encapsulated electronics that do not interact with the tank body.
Calibration is not optional
Tanks are not cuboids. A probe reports a level; converting that to litres requires a
calibration curve for that specific tank shape. Skip it and you get readings that are
precise and wrong — which is worse than approximate and honest, because people trust
them.
Turning readings into a stopped loss
Set the alert on a rate of change outside a refuelling context, not on an absolute
level. Pair every drop with location and ignition state — a fall while stationary with
the engine off, away from a fuel station, is the signature worth waking someone for.
Then attach it to a driver via ID, because the pattern usually resolves to a person
rather than a vehicle.
What to expect
Most fleets see the largest single recovery in the first month, simply because the
measurement itself changes behaviour. The durable saving comes afterwards, from idle
reduction and consumption comparison across drivers on the same route.